Best Buy broadly misses earnings estimates as consumers return to appliances, electronics

Even artificial intelligence couldn’t make it to flag consumer demand at Best Buy (BBY).

For the twelfth consecutive quarter, the retailer posted negative same-store sales growth, down 2.9% year-over-year compared to estimates of 0.92%. Net sales of $9.45 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $1.26 also missed expectations of $9.63 billion and $1.29 per share, respectively.

CEO Corey Barry blamed a combination of “overall ongoing macro uncertainty, customers waiting for deals and sales, and distraction during the election, particularly in non-essential categories,” in the earnings call.

In the quarter, appliance and entertainment sales fell 14.70% and 18.80%, respectively, compared to estimates of 7.5% and 4%. Consumer electronics sales fell 5.8%.

Computing and mobile phones saw sales rise, up 3.80%, while services revenue was up 6%, both narrowly beating estimates.

The company expects same-store sales growth to slow to less than 3% for the fourth quarter, undercutting optimism that demand was stabilizing after the pandemic.

“Fourth quarter sales are a sequential improvement,” Barry told reporters in a media call, adding, “We like what we’re seeing at the start of the holiday season, a little bit better than our expectations.”

This year, the company started Black Friday sales a week earlier as consumers look for value.

Shares of Best Buy are down 7% in pre-market trading. At the market close on Monday, shares were up nearly 19% year to date, the S&P 500’s (^GSPC) 25% profit.

According to Bloomberg consensus data estimates, the best buys to post for the third quarter are:

Adjusted Earnings Per Share: $1.26 vs. $1.29

Total Sales: $9.45 billion vs. $9.63 billion

Increase in overall store sales: -2.9% vs -0.92%

Total US same-store sales growth: -2.8% vs -1.04%

Sales growth for:

  • Equipment: -14.7% vs -7.50%

  • Entertainment: -18.8% vs -4%

  • Consumer Electronics: -5.8% vs -2.72%

  • Computing and Mobile Phones: +3.8% vs +3.5%

  • Services: +6% vs +5.83%

International: -3.7% vs -0.57%

The company updated its full-year outlook. Same-store sales are expected to decline 2.5% to 3.5%. This compares to a previously expected decline of 3% to 1.5%.

Revenue for the year is estimated at $41.1 billion to $41.5 billion, down from the previous range of $41.3 billion and $41.9 billion.

Earnings per share have been updated to $6.10 and $6.25, compared to the previous range of $6.10 and $6.35.

Barry said the company is at an inflection point as “layers of pressure on the business,” such as inflation, the housing market, consumers spending on experiences, and a lack of new products begin to shift.

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